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Failstack Calculator Notes
Use this Failstack Calculator to see how quickly you might be able to enhance with your current Failstack.
The calculator will try to determine how useful a Failstack is for a certain level of enhancement.
Gives an estimated number of attempts when using Crons.
Programmer notes on odds when using Crons:
# Function to find expected number of attempts to succeed half the time and 90% of the time
# Percentages are weird, we have to use exponents to determine how many attempts it will take
# You have to take into account the times where you succeed twice in a row
# So it’s not as simple as 5% chance means that it takes 20 attempts on average
# Essentially the odds of at least one success (odds that it won’t happen) ^ (number of attempts)
# We iterate through on number of attempts to find asymptotes at 50% and 90% chance of at least one success
# Crons checks at .1 because at that point there’s a 10% chance you haven’t succeeded
# Therefore a 90% chance you’ve succeeded at least once
Failstack Calculator TY
I would like to give a big THANK YOU to NCrowley-Test, who created the initial code for this failstack calculator and generously sharing it with us!! 🙂
I’m having fun tinkering around with the user interface and it’s still a WIP. Python is a picky programming language. 🙂
Failstacking Help & Additional Info
For more info, please view our Failstack Charts that show many softcaps.
You can also use our Failstack Guide. This is a basic guide that helps you understand what Failstacks are and how to build them.
Are there chances for Manos Coral Belts? They have different base enhancing chances AND different % increases per failstack but it’s hard finding them. The only chances I found where the base ones but not soft/hard cap and fs increase chance. “PRI 25% DUO 10% TRI 7.50% TET 2.50% PEN 0.50%”
“So it’s not as simple as 5% chance means that it takes 20 attempts on average”
It is that simple, actually (in the case where the probability of success remains static.). The expected (average, mean) number of attempts needed for one success is given by the function E=1/p. When you use the formula “ odds that it won’t happen) ^ (number of attempts)” and solve for 0.50 you aren’t calculating the average number of attempts , you are calculating the percentile which is not relevant to calculating the average cost or expected number of attempts.